Covid-19 may soon peak in three major US cities. Here’s what that means

New York, Detroit, and New Orleans—three metropolitan areas with some of the highest number of Covid-19 cases in the US—may all be hitting their peak number of hospital beds needed within the next week.

“If mitigation in New York worked—and we believe it is working—the cases are going to start to go down, but the mortality will be a lag behind that because of the co-morbidities and other conditions,” said Deborah Birx, the coronavirus response coordinator for the White House Coronavirus Task Force, in a press briefing on Saturday.

Birx and her team base these predictions on epidemiological models—in particular, those created by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) based at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine.

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